Presidential Elections in New York: Vote Third Party (Update)

I've been predicting for a long time that the Democratic Presidential candidate - first Biden, then Harris - will carry New York by more than a million votes, and so I'm free to make a statement by voting for a genuinely pro-life candidate, Peter Sonski of the American Solidarity Party. I'm voting for him not only because I agree with him and the Party on the issues, but I am also trying to send a statement to the Republican Party to stop wading deeper into pro-abortion waters.

I've gotten criticisms from pro-life friends saying we have to vote for Donald Trump because, even though he's very flawed on life issues, he is far better than Kamala Harris. 

I agree Trump is better than Harris when is comes to abortion and related issues - even though he is clearly not pro-life - and if I lived in a battleground state I would probably vote for him. But I live in New York, which is not a battleground state. 

Here are the rounded results since 1988 - with the Democratic candidate winning every time: 

1988 - Michael Dukakis beat George H. W. Bush by .25 million votes

1992 - Bill Clinton beat George H. W, Bush by 1 million votes 

1996 - Bill Clinton beat Bob Dole by 1.9 million votes

2000 - Al Gore beat George W. Bush by 1.7 million votes

2004 - John Kerry beat George W. Bush by 1.4 million votes

2008 - Barack Obama beat John McCain by 2 million votes

2012 - Barack Obama beat Mitt Romney by 2 million votes

2016 - Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump by 1.8 million votes 

2020 - Joe Biden beat Donald Trump by 1.9 million votes

Because New York is not a battleground state it's been mostly ignored by the pollsters, but there was one poll put out last week. Harris was up by 19%. I seriously doubt the margin is that great, but I still think it is large. 

So, unless there is some dramatic development in the last week of the campaign,  I stand by my prediction. 

We'll see if I'm right November 5. 

UPDATE: 

 

There were indeed some developments in the last week of the campaign. 

Joe Biden called Trump supporters "garbage," then his people tried to backtrack. But he said it live. Trump subsequently did his clever garbage truck stunt, and his followers began wearing garbage bags.

Bill Clinton also said a few things that confused the campaign,

Harris appeared in more public situations, and did not do well even when she had a script.

And Joe Rogan endorsed Trump.

So Trump began building a lead in many states, or to narrow the leads Harris had in some states.

That apparently happened in New York.

I had predicted Harris would win in this state by more than a million votes (barring late developments). 

At the moment, with counting still underway, Harris has won New York by about 900,000 votes. 

So I was off, but not by much, and I did say I could be off based on late developments.

Meanwhile, my comments about voting third party hold up.

Pax et bonum